Innovation in the era of the latest Moore's law

2022-09-21
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Editor's note: for decades, the productivity benefits of Moore's law have been the driving force for the development of the semiconductor industry, resulting in the emergence of ultra fast digital processors, wider bandwidth, and the huge memory required to significantly improve the productivity of applications with large data transmission and storage capacity, such as PC and. However, the economics and social progress of IC industry are bringing revolutionary changes to semiconductor industry

Ren penning de Vries, chief technology officer (CTO) of NXP semiconductor

the semiconductor industry is facing double challenges: on the one hand, the cost of developing SOC using advanced CMOS technology is soaring; On the other hand, the continuous reduction of volume will push Moore's law to the end

when it has good biocompatibility with hydroxyapatite, the added value required by consumers is no longer more produced consumer electronic devices, but transformed into new intelligent products. The global aging trend has brought the demand for medical equipment and food safety. The improvement of environmental awareness requires intelligent "green" solutions. In the field of transportation, IC innovation can ensure safety, overcome traffic congestion, and provide real-time information, entertainment and services for people on the road

these applications, as well as many other applications, It is usually realized by integrating the existing CMOS technology and the technology of "new Moore's law" "Our technology includes analog mixed signals, high voltage and ultra-low power consumption. The transformation to multi technology equipment will also include image design and architecture methods, modeling and characteristics, and system architecture. Finally, the existing joint research and development mode will change, and a new ecosystem will be formed.

the revolutionary transformation from CMOS driven technology integration to technological diversification has brought new ways of differentiation and more attractive new businesses to semiconductor manufacturers Business opportunities

only manufacturers with multi technology product development experience and ecosystem drivers such as NXP semiconductor can occupy a place in these emerging markets

The semiconductor industry is a relatively young industry. Since Moore's law first predicted that the number of transistors on silicon wafer would double every 18 months, semiconductor equipment manufacturers have been pursuing productivity gains. Facts have proved that this must be true at the same time. Productivity has reduced the cost of transistors, so that today's affordable SOC for consumer applications may include hundreds of millions of transistors while facilitating people and stimulating consumption. This huge productivity gain has led to the electronic applications we can see everywhere today

is Moore's law at an end now? The answer is no, but the density of transistors increases during production, and the cost of developing corresponding processes also increases. As a result, today's most cost-effective IC solutions cannot be dissolved in water. They must be based on the smallest (and most expensive) CMOS technology on the market

the aviation industry has also staged a shift from performance to economics driven product development. The revolutionary Concorde has been accelerating for decades. Although its top speed broke the record of 2000 kilometers per hour, it has not become a new standard for Airbus. It only takes Concorde three hours to fly from Paris to New York. I thought Concorde would set new industry standards. However, economic law has the upper hand over pure performance: excessive fuel consumption has caused ticket prices to rise to an unbearable level, and Concorde can only be hidden in the museum in the end

the average speed of the aviation industry is 1000 kilometers per hour, which is its economic equilibrium. This speed has been maintained for many years and has not changed so far

does this mean the end of innovation in the aviation industry? On the contrary. The innovation shift provides other value for passengers, crew and routes, not just speed. The aircraft has become safer, more comfortable, more cost-effective, lower fuel consumption and lower noise

NXP expects a similar shift in the semiconductor industry, with innovation shifting from productivity to high-quality living income. Similar to the aviation industry, for life (life), there is something more important than speed

therefore, Moore's law, which has dominated semiconductor technology for decades, will still play a role in a few high-yield fields. Once the physical function and economic feasibility meet and balance, it will no longer exist

social trends promote the development of new Moore's law technology

social development trends have brought huge business opportunities to manufacturers providing advanced ICs in the fields of energy-saving consumer electronics, lighting products, medical diagnostic equipment, food safety and traffic management systems

the growth of these markets has not stopped due to the economic slowdown. Because most chip innovations can bring considerable return on investment (ROI); Compared with reducing energy consumption, medical expenses and economic losses caused by traffic congestion, product costs are easy to be leveled. In this way, in the semiconductor field, truly demand driven innovation can pay for itself

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